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GET
/
api
/
v1
/
regime
/
probabilities
Regime Probabilities
curl --request GET \
  --url https://api.example.com/api/v1/regime/probabilities
Returns the full probabilistic output of the Hidden Markov Model including state probabilities, transition information, basis signal (backwardation detector), and cross-asset context. This is the most detailed regime endpoint and provides data not available from any other crypto API.

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Parameters

No parameters required.

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Example Request

curl -X GET "https://krovn.io/api/v1/regime/probabilities" \
  -H "X-API-Key: your_api_key"

​
Example Response

{
  "current": {
    "state": "RISK_ON",
    "legacyRegime": "MARKUP",
    "confidence": 0.82,
    "score": 72
  },
  "probabilities": {
    "RISK_ON": 0.72,
    "RISK_OFF": 0.12,
    "TRANSITION": 0.16
  },
  "transition": null,
  "regimeMultiplier": 1.2,
  "volatilityRegime": {
    "regime": "LOW_VOL",
    "percentile": 25
  },
  "basisSignal": {
    "basisPct": 0.0168,
    "annualizedPct": 18.40,
    "signal": "CONTANGO",
    "markPrice": 87435.20,
    "indexPrice": 87420.50
  },
  "crossAsset": {
    "dxy": 103.45,
    "dxyScore": -0.3,
    "sp500": {
      "vix": 18.5,
      "signal": "LOW_VOL"
    },
    "stablecoinFlow": 0.65,
    "fundingStructure": "CONTANGO"
  },
  "model": {},
  "dataHealth": "OK",
  "timestamp": "2026-03-21T12:30:00.000Z"
}
The transition field is null when the market is stable. During transitions, it contains from, to, type, and magnitude fields. The basisSignal detects backwardation which historically signals capitulation bottoms. Basis signals: HIGH_CONTANGO (annualized > 15%), CONTANGO (> 5%), BACKWARDATION (< -5%), FLAT.